Posts Tagged ‘Italy’

12.16
2010

The Bailout Package

We just received this as an email. We’re not sure who wrote it but we found it quite funny so thought we would share it with you via our blog.

It is a slow day in a damp little Irish town. The rain is beating down and the streets are deserted. Times are tough, everybody is in debt, and everybody lives on credit. On this particular day a rich German tourist is driving through the town, stops at the local hotel and lays a €100 note on the desk, telling the hotel owner he wants to inspect the rooms upstairs in order to pick one to spend the night. The owner gives him some keys and, as soon as the visitor has walked upstairs, the hotelier grabs the €100 note and runs next door to pay his debt to the butcher. The butcher takes the €100 note and runs down the street to repay his debt to the pig farmer. The pig farmer takes the €100 note and heads off to pay his bill at the supplier of feed and fuel. The guy at the Farmers’ Co-op takes the €100 note and runs to pay his drinks bill at the pub. The publican slips the money along to the local prostitute drinking at the bar, who has also been facing hard times and has had to offer him “services” on credit. The hooker then rushes to the hotel and pays off her room bill to the hotel owner with the €100 note. The hotel proprietor then places the €100 note back on the counter so the rich traveller will not suspect anything. At that moment the traveller comes down the stairs, picks up the €100 note, states that the rooms are not satisfactory, pockets the money, and leaves town. No one produced anything. No one earned anything. However, the whole town is now out of debt and looking to the future with a lot more optimism.

And that, Ladies and Gentlemen, is how the bailout package works.

Source: flickr- Randall Smith

07.26
2010

Club Tropicana Drinks Are Free…

European Debt Crisis - Restoring confidence - is there such thing as a free drink?

Confidence in the European banking world has been a little shaky of late. The “Club Tropicana” countries of Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain have been living the high life in recent years and it turns out that the party has been largely fuelled by loans from European banks. These banks are positively awash with exposure to southern European debt (private and sovereign) and the major European powers, it seems, will do almost anything to keep the party going for fear of what happens when the music stops.

Despite the reassuring words of Wham, the drinks at these parties very rarely turn out to be free (although rumour has it, Greece really did get in with just a smile!). The only real question is who ends up with the tab?

The latest effort to restore confidence was at best a compromise. Bank stress tests that are too weak reassure no one. But stress tests that are failed by everyone are hardly reassuring! In this sense, last weeks tests were probably pitched about right. Only seven of 91 banks tested missed the cut and none of them was a big name. So far so good.

The truth is that the stress tests were just not very stressful and as a result do not tell us too much about how they all will cope if the wind really does start to blow

The result is an extension for now, but we still feel that this represents a denial and postponement not a solution.  A double dip recession remains a distinct possibility.

We are therefore adding some sun cream to our earlier sticking plaster metaphor as there is a real danger that unwary investors could get burned. Factor 50 on standby!

06.04
2010

Nervy European Banks – Watch Out!

Tension is rising in the interbank credit market and PIIGS bonds

 LIBOR rates are now at new multi-month highs. Fearful of counter-party risk, European banks are refraining from lending to one another, hoarding cash with the ECB. Moreover, the PIIGS bonds are struggling. The Italian 10-year bond yield, for example, have surged all the way back to the pre-bailout levels. A similar outlook is noted for the Spanish long-term bond yields.